The Banks Were Good Again

The Banks Were Good Again

At the end of June, the Federal Reserve released the results of the 2025 Dodd Frank Act Stress Test (DFAST). This is the annual test where banks send their balance sheets to the Fed which then works their scenarios and models to predict how the banks will fare through...
Show Your Work

Show Your Work

It is common practice in both middle school and stress testing for the teacher/regulator to require you to show all the intermediate steps you went through to get to the final result. On the student and bank side, this scrutiny is often construed as unnecessary,...
How Deep Is Your Loss?

How Deep Is Your Loss?

Banks should hold enough capital. That is hard to argue with no matter if you are on Team Regulator or Team Bank. Where it gets a little more contentious is how much is enough.   Burned by the Global Financial Crisis in 2008, regulators far and wide tend to equate...

Managing Model Risk

The Federal Reserve and the OCC define model risk as “the potential for adverse consequences from decisions based on incorrect or misused model outputs and reports.”[1]  Statistical models are the core of stress testing and credit analysis, but banks are increasingly...