I Will Be Your Predictor

I Will Be Your Predictor

The Risk Report is always excited to dive into news details that validate what it already believes to be true. And if it can be combined with topical lyrics from Queen Bey, it is even better. So, remember the yield curve? The one by all measures has been inverted for...
Not All Quant Quakes Are Black Swans

Not All Quant Quakes Are Black Swans

Information about the Chinese financial markets is often fleeting, sparse, and long after the fact. This week, however, Bloomberg brought a piece on a recent Quant Quake, a headline too good to pass up. The piece talks about how Chinese quant hedge funds—hedge funds...

IFRS 9: Modeling Challenges

Calculating expected credit losses under IFRS 9 is easy. It requires little more than high school algebra to determine the aggregate present value of future cash flows. But it is not easy to ascertain the key components that are used by the basic equation—regardless...

Managing Model Risk

The Federal Reserve and the OCC define model risk as “the potential for adverse consequences from decisions based on incorrect or misused model outputs and reports.”[1]  Statistical models are the core of stress testing and credit analysis, but banks are increasingly...