by Regitze Ladekarl, FRM | Dec 23, 2024 | Risk Report
The first thing they teach you at economist school is that you can either predict where an indicator is going, or you can predict when it will change, but you cannot do both and still be right. As we are deep into the season of predictions there are plenty of examples...
by Regitze Ladekarl, FRM | Sep 30, 2024 | Risk Report
As we have mentioned before, the global economy is comprised by more countries than the United States of America and while those other countries are keeping a close eye on what’s going on stateside—either for direction or counterpoint—they are also having their own...
by Regitze Ladekarl, FRM | Sep 23, 2024 | Risk Report
The Fed cut its target rates this week. It was long-awaited and bigger than expected, both literally and symbolically. In number terms, the rates were lowered half a percentage point. In meaning terms, the rate cut was a turning point into the rarely visited Soft...
by Regitze Ladekarl, FRM | Aug 19, 2024 | Risk Report
For those still holding their breath: yes, the headline inflation rate did come down, and yes, we are back on ramp to interest rate cuts soon, and yes, soon is firming up to mean September. And soon needs to be soon because there are debt burdens starting to throw...
by Regitze Ladekarl, FRM | Aug 12, 2024 | Risk Report
We were so close! The economic floor routine to stick a soft landing—taming inflation with high rates without causing a recession—seemed on track and within reach and expectations were running high and then a few things happened in rapid succession: BoJ hiked their...
