by Regitze Ladekarl, FRM | Dec 23, 2024 | Risk Report
The first thing they teach you at economist school is that you can either predict where an indicator is going, or you can predict when it will change, but you cannot do both and still be right. As we are deep into the season of predictions there are plenty of examples...
by Regitze Ladekarl, FRM | Dec 9, 2024 | Risk Report
37,000 banks, 5,000 bank failures, 158 years. That’s the stuff of dreams, if you are a researcher at the New York Federal Reserve. Liberty Street, the NY Fed blog, has just published a series of excellent posts about what this treasure trove of data can tell us about...
by Regitze Ladekarl, FRM | Nov 18, 2024 | Risk Report
Turbulent times can leave anyone feeling a little raw, and banks are no exception. Last year’s runs raised the flags on the resilience of the banking system and luckily the smart people at the Fed of New York know how to measure bank vulnerability and have just...
by Jenny Harrod | Nov 1, 2024 | Private Capital Forecasting
Pacing the commitment of private asset investments is notoriously challenging compared to other asset types. Net growth expectations are impacted by the cycle of remaining capital left to call and outflows via distributions, not to mention they take years to fully...
by Regitze Ladekarl, FRM | Oct 14, 2024 | Risk Report
It is second nature to me, both as a risk manager and a parent, to focus on the worst-case scenario first. That makes for an, shall we say, interesting size of my amygdala*. What I am dancing around is that there was some good news that almost slipped by unnoticed, so...
