Higher for Longer Turns to Higher Forever

Higher for Longer Turns to Higher Forever

I’m sorry, were you waiting to return to the happy days when you could get a 30-year fixed mortgage for less than 4%? Well, you might have to tighten the straps on your patience hat again because Ms. Yellen of the US Treasury said this week that rates will most likely...
On Second Thought

On Second Thought

Remember last summer when we spent endless days going over Team Regulator’s 1,000-page proposal for new bank rules? Well, after reading the comment section on their post—literally—it seems like Team Regulator wants a redo. On Wednesday, Jerome Powell of the Federal...
The Sound of Many Band-Aids

The Sound of Many Band-Aids

We were going to give credit risk and commercial real estate a pass this week, but the news wouldn’t let us. Late Thursday our already troubled friend, New York Community Bancorp (NYCB), said it had discovered “material weaknesses” in how it tracks loan risk. The...

O as in Out-Of-Office

Yeah, well, there was a fear it might come, there were hints it might come, there were expert predictions it might come, there were small kids yelling: “It’s coming, it’s coming,” and this week it came: the office loan losses. It wasn’t a lot, but enough to evoke that...
What Goes Up, Must … What?

What Goes Up, Must … What?

Everyone knows that January is the time for sales. The market for government debt is no different. Come the new year, and countries around the world are looking to fund their budgets, which usually means that you can snag a good deal on treasury bonds. And in 2024 the...