by Regitze Ladekarl, FRM | Aug 26, 2024 | Risk Report
There used to be some correlations we could rely on; when you didn’t bring your umbrella it rains, they announce a new smartphone the week after you bought the latest one, and when the dollar is up, gold and oil are down. So far in 2024, the gold price has gained more...
by Regitze Ladekarl, FRM | Aug 19, 2024 | Risk Report
For those still holding their breath: yes, the headline inflation rate did come down, and yes, we are back on ramp to interest rate cuts soon, and yes, soon is firming up to mean September. And soon needs to be soon because there are debt burdens starting to throw...
by Regitze Ladekarl, FRM | Aug 12, 2024 | Risk Report
We were so close! The economic floor routine to stick a soft landing—taming inflation with high rates without causing a recession—seemed on track and within reach and expectations were running high and then a few things happened in rapid succession: BoJ hiked their...
by Regitze Ladekarl, FRM | Aug 5, 2024 | Risk Report
A couple of weeks back, Hurricane Beryl pummelled her way from the Caribbean, through the Yucatán peninsula, and onto the Gulf Coast of the US. The current death toll is 64. Damages are estimated to $6.2 billion. Beryl made its US landfall in Texas, and Houston was...
by Regitze Ladekarl, FRM | Jul 22, 2024 | Risk Report
Back in 1967, there was a Danish variety show featuring a song called The Swings and The Carousels. The chorus ran along the lines of: We need to earn on the swings What we lost on the carousels Referring to the old amusement park, Tivoli, in Copenhagen, it is...
by Regitze Ladekarl, FRM | Jul 15, 2024 | Risk Report
Banks should hold enough capital. That is hard to argue with no matter if you are on Team Regulator or Team Bank. Where it gets a little more contentious is how much is enough. Burned by the Global Financial Crisis in 2008, regulators far and wide tend to equate...
