by Regitze Ladekarl, FRM | Sep 3, 2024 | Risk Report
Don’t you just love it when, at the end of a soap opera season, it turns out that the four side-stories are connected, and the manager from the corner store is the long-lost twin* of the heir to the billion-dollar empire, and they will now have to share the fortune...
by Regitze Ladekarl, FRM | Aug 26, 2024 | Risk Report
There used to be some correlations we could rely on; when you didn’t bring your umbrella it rains, they announce a new smartphone the week after you bought the latest one, and when the dollar is up, gold and oil are down. So far in 2024, the gold price has gained more...
by Regitze Ladekarl, FRM | Aug 19, 2024 | Risk Report
For those still holding their breath: yes, the headline inflation rate did come down, and yes, we are back on ramp to interest rate cuts soon, and yes, soon is firming up to mean September. And soon needs to be soon because there are debt burdens starting to throw...
by Regitze Ladekarl, FRM | Aug 12, 2024 | Risk Report
We were so close! The economic floor routine to stick a soft landing—taming inflation with high rates without causing a recession—seemed on track and within reach and expectations were running high and then a few things happened in rapid succession: BoJ hiked their...
by Regitze Ladekarl, FRM | Aug 5, 2024 | Risk Report
A couple of weeks back, Hurricane Beryl pummelled her way from the Caribbean, through the Yucatán peninsula, and onto the Gulf Coast of the US. The current death toll is 64. Damages are estimated to $6.2 billion. Beryl made its US landfall in Texas, and Houston was...
by Regitze Ladekarl, FRM | Jul 22, 2024 | Risk Report
Back in 1967, there was a Danish variety show featuring a song called The Swings and The Carousels. The chorus ran along the lines of: We need to earn on the swings What we lost on the carousels Referring to the old amusement park, Tivoli, in Copenhagen, it is...
by Regitze Ladekarl, FRM | Jul 15, 2024 | Risk Report
Banks should hold enough capital. That is hard to argue with no matter if you are on Team Regulator or Team Bank. Where it gets a little more contentious is how much is enough. Burned by the Global Financial Crisis in 2008, regulators far and wide tend to equate...
by Regitze Ladekarl, FRM | Jun 24, 2024 | Risk Report
Many of us know the chain of events set in motion, when you tell a toddler in very specific terms what they should NOT do. Sometimes financial markets act in the same way. In this year’s yen episodes, the grown-up is the Japanese top foreign-exchange official, Masato...
by Jenny Harrod | Jun 20, 2024 | Private Capital Forecasting
Overview Private capital investments have grown exponentially over the past decades. Now they are expanding at a steadier pace which necessitates tools with a higher level of confidence and precision to keep optimizing returns. Most people in the private capital space...
by Regitze Ladekarl, FRM | Jun 17, 2024 | Risk Report
Yes, I am that old.* Sometimes, when a group of big economies have been through some tough times together, but then find they are recovering at different speeds, they might have to start lowering their interest rates before the biggest one is ready. That doesn’t mean...
